{"id":1014,"date":"2026-09-17T16:14:59","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T08:14:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\/?p=1014"},"modified":"2026-09-17T16:14:59","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T08:14:59","slug":"polymarket-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/index.php\/2026\/09\/17\/polymarket-11\/","title":{"rendered":"\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u52a0\u5bc6\u4e0e\u91d1\u94b1\uff1aPolymarket\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u52a0\u5bc6\u4e0e\u91d1\u94b1\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a>\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u4fe1\u606f\u7206\u70b8\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u4ece\u6d77\u91cf\u566a\u97f3\u4e2d\u63d0\u53d6\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u3001\u5a92\u4f53\u4e43\u81f3\u666e\u901a\u516c\u4f17\u7684\u5171\u540c\u96be\u9898\u3002\u800c\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u4e8e\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5e73\u53f0\u2014\u2014<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong>\uff0c\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u7528\u771f\u91d1\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u535a\u5f08\u6765\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u5230\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u4ece\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u51b2\u7a81\u5230\u4f53\u80b2\u8d5b\u4e8b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u5df2\u7ecf\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u53bb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u6df1\u5165\u5256\u6790\u5176\u8fd0\u4f5c\u673a\u5236\u3001\u6838\u5fc3\u4f18\u52bf\u4ee5\u53ca\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u3001\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f<a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a>\uff1f\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8303\u5f0f\u9769\u65b0<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f20\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\uff08\u5982\u7231\u8377\u534e\u7535\u5b50\u5e02\u573a\uff09\u65e9\u5df2\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4f46\u5f80\u5f80\u53d7\u9650\u4e8e\u76d1\u7ba1\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0d\u8db3\u548c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u8fd0\u8425\u7684\u4f4e\u6548\u3002<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u7684\u7a81\u7834\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u5b83\u6784\u5efa\u5728 Polygon \u533a\u5757\u94fe\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528 USDC \u7a33\u5b9a\u5e01\u8fdb\u884c\u7ed3\u7b97\uff0c\u8ba9\u7528\u6237\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u6781\u4f4e\u95e8\u69db\u4e70\u5356\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u201c\u4efd\u989d\u201d\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u201c2024\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u662f\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff1f\u201d\u4f1a\u751f\u6210\u4e24\u79cd\u7ed3\u679c\u4ee3\u5e01\uff1aYES \u548c NO\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a YES \u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 60%\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48 YES \u4efd\u989d\u4ef7\u683c\u7ea6\u4e3a 0.60 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5f53\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6b63\u786e\u4e00\u65b9\u6bcf\u4efd\u5151\u6362 1 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bbe\u8ba1\u5c06\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u52a0\u5bc6\u4e0e\u91d1\u94b1\u4e09\u8005\u7d27\u5bc6\u8026\u5408\u2014\u2014\u653f\u6cbb\u4e8b\u4ef6\u63d0\u4f9b\u6807\u7684\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u6280\u672f\u4fdd\u969c\u900f\u660e\u4e0e\u6297\u5ba1\u67e5\uff0c\u91d1\u94b1\uff08USDC\uff09\u5219\u6ce8\u5165\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u5e76\u6fc0\u52b1\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u6b63\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u8026\u5408\uff0c\u8ba9 <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u5728 2024 \u5e74\u5927\u9009\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7a81\u7834\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8fdc\u8d85\u6240\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e8c\u3001\u6838\u5fc3\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48<a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a>\u80fd\u8131\u9896\u800c\u51fa\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u53bb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u4e0e\u65e0\u9700\u8bb8\u53ef\u7684\u51c6\u5165<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0e Kalshi \u7b49\u53d7 CFTC \u4e25\u683c\u76d1\u7ba1\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u65e9\u671f\u901a\u8fc7\u79bb\u5cb8\u67b6\u6784\u548c\u52a0\u5bc6\u7ed3\u7b97\u89c4\u907f\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u6cd5\u5f8b\u969c\u788d\uff0c\u5141\u8bb8\u5168\u7403\u7528\u6237\uff08\u9664\u53d7\u5236\u88c1\u5730\u533a\u5916\uff09\u76f4\u63a5\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002\u7528\u6237\u53ea\u9700\u8fde\u63a5\u94b1\u5305\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u4ea4\u6613\u4efb\u4f55\u88ab\u521b\u5efa\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u65e0\u9700\u8bb8\u53ef\u7684\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5e02\u573a\u521b\u5efa\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u9488\u5bf9\u7a81\u53d1\u65b0\u95fb\uff08\u5982\u201c\u67d0\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5728\u67d0\u6708\u524d\u964d\u606f\u201d\uff09\u8fc5\u901f\u5f00\u8bbe\u5408\u7ea6\uff0c\u800c\u65e0\u9700\u7b49\u5f85\u76d1\u7ba1\u5ba1\u6279\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u4fe1\u606f\u805a\u5408\u7684\u201c\u7fa4\u4f53\u667a\u6167\u201d\u6548\u5e94<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u4ef7\u503c\u5728\u4e8e\u4ef7\u683c\u5373\u6982\u7387\u3002\u5f53\u5927\u91cf\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u7528\u771f\u91d1\u767d\u94f6\u4e0b\u6ce8\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u6c11\u8c03\u3001\u4e13\u5bb6\u8bc4\u8bba\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u671f\u95f4\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u4e0a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u80dc\u7387\u4e00\u5ea6\u4e0e\u4e3b\u6d41\u6c11\u8c03\u4ea7\u751f\u663e\u8457\u504f\u79bb\uff0c\u4e8b\u540e\u8bc1\u660e\u5176\u66f4\u8d34\u8fd1\u6700\u7ec8\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u7528\u94b1\u6295\u7968\u201d\u7684\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u3001\u91cf\u5316\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u751a\u81f3\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u6df1\u5ea6\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u53d1\u73b0\u6548\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \u52a0\u5bc6\u539f\u751f\u4f53\u9a8c\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u6d41\u52a8\u6027<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u901a\u8fc7 USDC \u548c Polygon \u7f51\u7edc\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u8fd1\u4e4e\u5373\u65f6\u7684\u7ed3\u7b97\u548c\u6781\u4f4e\u7684\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\u3002\u7528\u6237\u65e0\u9700\u62c5\u5fc3\u94f6\u884c\u8f6c\u8d26\u7684\u5ef6\u8fdf\u6216\u5916\u6c47\u7ba1\u5236\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7531\u505a\u5e02\u5546\u548c\u5957\u5229\u8005\u5171\u540c\u63d0\u4f9b\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5927\u989d\u4ea4\u6613\u4e5f\u80fd\u4ee5\u8f83\u5c0f\u6ed1\u70b9\u5b8c\u6210\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u52a0\u5bc6\u539f\u751f\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u8ba9 <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u5728\u4f20\u7edf\u91d1\u878d\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u9884\u6d4b\u4e4b\u95f4\u67b6\u8d77\u4e86\u4e00\u5ea7\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u6865\u6881\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e09\u3001\u5177\u4f53\u6848\u4f8b\uff1a\u4ece\u653f\u6cbb\u5230\u52a0\u5bc6\u7684\u5b9e\u6218\u5e94\u7528<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6848\u4f8b\u4e00\uff1a2024\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u3002<\/strong> \u8fd9\u662f <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u6218\u5f79\u3002\u4ece\u521d\u9009\u8fa9\u8bba\u5230\u6700\u7ec8\u6295\u7968\u65e5\uff0c\u5e73\u53f0\u4e0a\u201c\u8c01\u5c06\u8d62\u5f97\u603b\u7edf\u5b9d\u5ea7\u201d\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7 20 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5229\u7528\u5404\u5dde\u6c11\u8c03\u3001\u63d0\u524d\u6295\u7968\u6570\u636e\u548c\u94fe\u4e0a\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5411\u8fdb\u884c\u5957\u5229\u3002\u5f53\u62dc\u767b\u9000\u9009\u3001\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\u63a5\u68d2\u65f6\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u77ac\u95f4\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4ef7\uff0c\u5c55\u73b0\u4e86\u6781\u5f3a\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u53cd\u5e94\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6848\u4f8b\u4e8c\uff1a\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/strong> \u4f8b\u5982\u201c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5728 2025 \u5e74 6 \u6708\u524d\u7a81\u7834 10 \u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff1f\u201d\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5e02\u573a\u4e3a\u52a0\u5bc6\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5bf9\u51b2\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u77ff\u5de5\u3001\u57fa\u91d1\u548c\u6563\u6237\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u8d2d\u4e70 NO \u4efd\u989d\u6765\u5bf9\u51b2\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u8d2d\u4e70 YES \u4efd\u989d\u6765\u6760\u6746\u5316\u770b\u6da8\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5e94\u7528\u573a\u666f\u8ba9 <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u4e0d\u518d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u8d4c\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5177\u6709\u5b9e\u9645\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u529f\u80fd\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6848\u4f8b\u4e09\uff1a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u7a81\u53d1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/strong> \u4f8b\u5982\u201c\u67d0\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5728\u67d0\u65e5\u671f\u524d\u5bf9\u67d0\u5730\u533a\u91c7\u53d6\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\uff1f\u201d\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5e02\u573a\u867d\u7136\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u5bc6\u533f\u540d\u6027\u548c\u53bb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5316\u4ef2\u88c1\uff08\u5982 UMA \u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u9884\u8a00\u673a\uff09\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u79cd\u6301\u7eed\u66f4\u65b0\u7684\u6982\u7387\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u88ab\u8bb0\u8005\u548c\u667a\u5e93\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5f15\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u56db\u3001\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u4e89\u8bae\uff1a\u76d1\u7ba1\u3001\u64cd\u7eb5\u4e0e\u9053\u5fb7\u8fb9\u754c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u589e\u957f\u8fc5\u731b\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> \u5e76\u975e\u6ca1\u6709\u9690\u5fe7\u3002\u9996\u5148\u662f\u76d1\u7ba1\u538b\u529b\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd CFTC 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href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a>\u7684\u672a\u6765\u4e0e\u542f\u793a<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u65e0\u8bba\u4f60\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u89c2\u5bdf\u8005\u3001\u52a0\u5bc6\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4ec5\u4ec5\u5bf9\u201c\u7fa4\u4f53\u667a\u6167\u201d\u611f\u5230\u597d\u5947\uff0c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket-chat.com\/\" class=\"keyword-highlight\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><\/strong> 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